Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems - Volume Pre-press, issue Pre-press

Authors: Vasudevan, Nisha | Venkatraman, Vasudevan | Ramkumar, A | Sheela, A

Article Type: Research Article

Abstract: Smart grid is a sophisticated and smart electrical power transmission and distribution network, and it uses advanced information, interaction and control technologies to build up the economy, effectiveness, efficiency and grid security. The accuracy of day-to-day power consumption forecasting models has an important impact on several decisions making, such as fuel purchase scheduling, system security assessment, economic capacity generation scheduling and energy transaction planning. The techniques used for improving the load forecasting accuracy differ in the mathematical formulation as well as the features used in each formulation. Power utilization of the housing sector is an essential component of the overall …electricity demand. An accurate forecast of energy consumption in the housing sector is quite relevant in this context. The recent adoption of smart meters makes it easier to access electricity readings at very precise resolutions; this source of available data can, therefore, be used to build predictive models., In this study, the authors have proposed Prophet Forecasting Model (PFM) for the application of forecasting day-ahead power consumption in association with the real-time power consumption time series dataset of a single house connected with smart grid near Paris, France. PFM is a special type of Generalized Additive Model. In this method, the time series power consumption dataset has three components, such as Trend, Seasonal and Holidays. Trend component was modelled by a saturating growth model and a piecewise linear model. Multi seasonal periods and Holidays were modelled with Fourier series. The Power consumption forecasting was done with Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Long Short Term Neural Memory Network (LSTM) and PFM. As per the comparison, the improved RMSE, MSE, MAE and RMSLE values of PFM were 0.2395, 0.0574, 0.1848 and 0.2395 respectively. From the comparison results of this study, the proposed method claims that the PFM is better than the other two models in prediction, and the LSTM is in the next position with less error. Show more

Keywords: Energy management, smart home, energy forecast, power management, efficiency

DOI: 10.3233/JIFS-189886

Citation: Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, vol. Pre-press, no. Pre-press, pp. 1-12, 2021

Authors: Krishnamoorthy, Amrutha | Sindhura, Vijayasimha Reddy | Gowtham, Devarakonda | Jyotsna, C. | Amudha, J.

Article Type: Research Article

Abstract: Extraction of eye gaze events is highly dependent on automated powerful software that charges exorbitant prices. The proposed open-source intelligent tool StimulEye helps to detect and classify eye gaze events and analyse various metrics related to these events. The algorithms for eye event detection in use today heavily depend on hand-crafted signal features and thresholding, which are computed from the stream of raw gaze data. These algorithms leave most of their parametric decisions on the end user which might result in ambiguity and inaccuracy. StimulEye uses deep learning techniques to automate eye gaze event detection which neither requires manual decision …making nor parametric definitions. StimulEye provides an end to end solution which takes raw streams of data from an eye tracker in text form, analyses these to classify the inputs into the events, namely saccades, fixations, and blinks. It provides the user with insights such as scanpath, fixation duration, radii, etc. Show more

Keywords: Eye tracking, fixations, saccades, scanpath, deep learning

DOI: 10.3233/JIFS-189893

Citation: Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, vol. Pre-press, no. Pre-press, pp. 1-9, 2021

Authors: Sujatha, M. | Geetha, K. | Balakrishnan, P.

Article Type: Research Article

Abstract: The widespread adoption of cloud computing by several companies across diverse verticals of different sizes has led to an exponential growth of Cloud Service Providers (CSP). Multiple CSPs offer homogeneous services with a vast array of options and different pricing policies, making the suitable service selection process complex. Our proposed model simplifies the IaaS selection process that can be used by all users including clients from the non-IT background. In the first phase, requirements are gathered using a simple questionnaire and are mapped with the compute services among different alternatives.In the second phase, we have implemented the Sugeno Fuzzy inference …system to rank the service providers based on the QoS attributes to ascertain the appropriate selection. In the third phase, we have applied the cost model to identify the optimal CSP. This framework is validated by applying it for a gaming application use case and it has outperformed the online tools thus making it an exemplary model. Show more

Keywords: Cloud computing, IaaS selection, Sugeno Fuzzy inference system, CSP selection, compute service, MCDM

DOI: 10.3233/JIFS-189883

Citation: Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, vol. Pre-press, no. Pre-press, pp. 1-9, 2021

Authors: Jeyanthi, R. | Sahithi, Madugula | Sireesha, N.V.L. | Srinivasan, Mangala Sneha | Devanathan, Sriram

Article Type: Research Article

Abstract: In process industries, measurements usually contain errors due to the improper instrumental variation, physical leakages in process streams and nodes, and inaccurate recording/reporting. Thus, these measurements violate the laws of conservation, and do not conform to process constraints. Data reconciliation (DR) is used to resolve the difference between measurements and constraints. DR is also used in reducing the effect of random errors and more accurately estimating the true values. A multivariate technique that is used to obtain estimates of true values while preserving the most significant inherent variation is Principal Component Analysis (PCA). PCA is used to reduce the dimensionality …of the data with minimum information loss. In this paper, two new DR techniques are proposed moving-average PCA (MA-PCA) and exponentially weighted moving average PCA (EWMA-PCA) to improve the performance of DR and obtain more accurate and consistent data. These DR techniques are compared based on RMSE. Further, these techniques are analyzed for different values of sample size, weighting factor, and variances. Show more

Keywords: Data reconciliation, MA-PCA, EWMA-PCA

DOI: 10.3233/JIFS-189892

Citation: Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, vol. Pre-press, no. Pre-press, pp. 1-6, 2021

Authors: Shabir, Muhammad | Mubarak, Asad | Naz, Munazza

Article Type: Research Article

Abstract: The rough set theory is an effective method for analyzing data vagueness, while bipolar soft sets can handle data ambiguity and bipolarity in many cases. In this article, we apply Pawlak’s concept of rough sets to the bipolar soft sets and introduce the rough bipolar soft sets by defining a rough approximation of a bipolar soft set in a generalized soft approximation space. We study their structural properties and discuss how the soft binary relation affects the rough approximations of a bipolar soft set. Two sorts of bipolar soft topologies induced by soft binary relation are examined. We additionally discuss …some similarity relations between the bipolar soft sets, depending on their roughness. Such bipolar soft sets are very useful in the problems related to decision-making such as supplier selection problem, purchase problem, portfolio selection, site selection problem etc. A methodology has been introduced for this purpose and two algorithms are presented based upon the ongoing notions of foresets and aftersets respectively. These algorithms determine the best/worst choices by considering rough approximations over two universes i.e. the universe of objects and universe of parameters under a single framework of rough bipolar soft sets. Show more

Keywords: Rough sets, bipolar soft sets, rough bipolar soft sets, bipolar soft topology, decision making

DOI: 10.3233/JIFS-202958

Citation: Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, vol. Pre-press, no. Pre-press, pp. 1-1, 2021

Authors: Adu, Kwabena | Yu, Yongbin | Cai, Jingye | Dela Tattrah, Victor | Adu Ansere, James | Tashi, Nyima

Article Type: Research Article

Abstract: The squash function in capsule networks (CapsNets) dynamic routing is less capable of performing discrimination of non-informative capsules which leads to abnormal activation value distribution of capsules. In this paper, we propose vertical squash (VSquash) to improve the original squash by preventing the activation values of capsules in the primary capsule layer to shrink non-informative capsules, promote discriminative capsules and avoid high information sensitivity. Furthermore, a new neural network, (i) skip-connected convolutional capsule (S-CCCapsule), (ii) Integrated skip-connected convolutional capsules (ISCC) and (iii) Ensemble skip-connected convolutional capsules (ESCC) based on CapsNets are presented where the VSquash is applied in the dynamic …routing. In order to achieve uniform distribution of coupling coefficient of probabilities between capsules, we use the Sigmoid function rather than Softmax function. Experiments on Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center (GWCMC), Radiological Society of North America (RSNA) and Mendeley CXR Pneumonia datasets were performed to validate the effectiveness of our proposed methods. We found that our proposed methods produce better accuracy compared to other methods based on model evaluation metrics such as confusion matrix, sensitivity, specificity and Area under the curve (AUC). Our method for pneumonia detection performs better than practicing radiologists. It minimizes human error and reduces diagnosis time. Show more

Keywords: Artificial intelligence, capsule network, convolutional neural network, deep learning, pneumonia, x-ray imaging

DOI: 10.3233/JIFS-202638

Citation: Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, vol. Pre-press, no. Pre-press, pp. 1-25, 2021

Authors: Recal, Füsun | Demirel, Tufan

Article Type: Research Article

Abstract: Although Machine Learning (ML) is widely used to examine hidden patterns in complex databases and learn from them to predict future events in many fields, utilization of it for predicting the outcome of occupational accidents is relatively sparse. This study utilized diversified ML algorithms; Multinomial Logistic Regression (MLR), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Single C5.0 Tree (C5), Stochastic Gradient Boosting (SGB), and Neural Network (NN) in classifying the severity of occupational accidents in binary (Fatal/NonFatal) and multi-class (Fatal/Major/Minor) outcomes. Comparison of the performance of models showed Balanced Accuracy to be the best for SVM and SGB methods in 2-Class and SGB …in 3-Class. Algorithms performed better at predicting fatal accidents compared to major and minor accidents. Results obtained revealed that, ML unveils factors contributing to severity to better address the corrective actions. Furthermore, taking action related to even some of the most significant factors in complex accidents database with many attributes can prevent majority of severe accidents. Interpretation of most significant factors identified for accident prediction suggest the following corrective measures: taking fall prevention actions, prioritizing workplace inspections based on the number of employees, and supplementing safety actions according to worker’s age and experience. Show more

Keywords: Accidents severity, classification, data mining, feature selection; machine learning

DOI: 10.3233/JIFS-202099

Citation: Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, vol. Pre-press, no. Pre-press, pp. 1-17, 2021

Authors: Wang, Shuang | Ding, Lei | Sui, He | Gu, Zhaojun

Article Type: Research Article

Abstract: Cybersecurity risk assessment is an important means of effective response to network attacks on industrial control systems. However, cybersecurity risk assessment process is susceptible to subjective and objective effects. To solve this problem, this paper introduced cybersecurity risk assessment method based on fuzzy theory of Attack-Defense Tree model and probability cybersecurity risk assessment technology, and applied it to airport automatic fuel supply control system. Firstly, an Attack-Defense Tree model was established based on the potential cybersecurity threat of the system and deployed security equipment. Secondly, the interval probability of the attack path was calculated using the triangular fuzzy quantification of …the interval probabilities of the attack leaf nodes and defensive leaf nodes. Next, the interval probability of the final path was defuzzified. Finally, the occurrence probability of each final attack path was obtained and a reference for the deployment of security equipment was provided. The main contributions of this paper are as follows: (1) considering the distribution of equipment in industrial control system, a new cybersecurity risk evaluation model of industrial control system is proposed. (2) The experimental results of this article are compared with other assessment technologies, and the trend is similar to that of other evaluation methods, which proves that the method was introduced in this paper is scientific. However, this method reduces the subjective impact of experts on cybersecurity risk assessment, and the assessment results are more objective and reasonable. (3) Applying this model to the airport oil supply automatic control system can comprehensively evaluate risk, solve the practical problems faced by the airport, and also provide an important basis for the cybersecurity protection scheme of the energy industry. Show more

Keywords: Cybersecurity risk assessment, fuzzy set theory, attack-defense tree

DOI: 10.3233/JIFS-201126

Citation: Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, vol. Pre-press, no. Pre-press, pp. 1-14, 2021

Authors: An, Qing | Tang, Ruoli | Su, Hongfeng | Zhang, Jun | Li, Xin

Article Type: Research Article

Abstract: Due to the promising performance on energy-saving, the building integrated photovoltaic system (BIPV) has found an increasingly wide utilization in modern cities. For a large-scale PV array installed on the facades of a super high-rise building, the environmental conditions (e.g., the irradiance, temperature, sunlight angle etc.) are always complex and dynamic. As a result, the PV configuration and maximum power point tracking (MPPT) methodology are of great importance for both the operational safety and efficiency. In this study, some famous PV configurations are comprehensively tested under complex shading conditions in BIPV application, and a robust configuration for large-scale BIPV system …based on the total-cross-tied (TCT) circuit connection is developed. Then, by analyzing and extracting the feature variables of environment parameters, a novel fast MPPT methodology based on extreme learning machine (ELM) is proposed. Finally, the proposed configuration and its MPPT methodology are verified by simulation experiments. Experimental results show that the proposed configuration performs efficient on most of the complex shading conditions, and the ELM-based intelligent MPPT methodology can also obtain promising performance on response speed and tracking accuracy. Show more

Keywords: Building integrated photovoltaic system, maximum power point tracking, PV configuration, intelligent control, extreme learning machine

DOI: 10.3233/JIFS-210424

Citation: Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, vol. Pre-press, no. Pre-press, pp. 1-18, 2021

Authors: Rajavel, Rajkumar | Ravichandran, Sathish Kumar | Nagappan, Partheeban | Ramasubramanian Gobichettipalayam, Kanagachidambaresan

Article Type: Research Article

Abstract: A major demanding issue is developing a Service Level Agreement (SLA) based negotiation framework in the cloud. To provide personalized service access to consumers, a novel Automated Dynamic SLA Negotiation Framework (ADSLANF) is proposed using a dynamic SLA concept to negotiate on service terms and conditions. The existing frameworks exploit a direct negotiation mechanism where the provider and consumer can directly talk to each other, which may not be applicable in the future due to increasing demand on broker-based models. The proposed ADSLANF will take very less total negotiation time due to complicated negotiation mechanisms using a third-party broker agent. …Also, a novel game theory decision system will suggest an optimal solution to the negotiating agent at the time of generating a proposal or counter proposal. This optimal suggestion will make the negotiating party aware of the optimal acceptance range of the proposal and avoid the negotiation break off by quickly reaching an agreement. Show more

Keywords: Service level agreement, broker-based negotiation framework, game theory decision system, E-commerce application

DOI: 10.3233/JIFS-189882

Citation: Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, vol. Pre-press, no. Pre-press, pp. 1-12, 2021