Affiliations:
State Grid Fujian Marketing Service Center (Meterting Center and Integrated Capital Center), Xiamen, China
Correspondence:
[*]
Corresponding author. Zhiqiang Lan, State Grid Fujian Marketing Service Center (Meterting Center and Integrated Capital Center), Xiamen, 361000, China. E-mail: [email protected].
Abstract: In the application of new energy consumption system engineering, in order to evaluate the contribution of electric power industry expansion, an evaluation model of electric power industry expansion contribution considering the influencing factors of new energy consumption is constructed. In the process of power industry expansion, the growth of new energy installed capacity, power system regulation ability, power grid interconnection and electricity demand are the core factors that affect the change of power contribution to power industry expansion. Using the characteristic extraction method of power consumption behavior of users with industrial expansion, after extracting two characteristics, namely, the utilization hours of user’s industrial expansion capacity and the proportion of new energy load put into operation under the change of four major factors, the monthly industrial expansion power consumption of typical users is predicted by the monthly industrial expansion power consumption forecasting method of users considering industrial expansion capacity, and then the growth curve of user’s industrial expansion power consumption is drawn. Based on the forecast method of monthly industry expansion electricity generated by industry expansion quantity, the industry expansion quantity of typical individual users is calculated, and the industry expansion quantity is input into RBF network model trained by particle swarm optimization algorithm to complete the forecast of monthly industry expansion electricity; Finally, the contribution ratio of each influencing factor is calculated, and the evaluation of power industry expansion contribution considering the influencing factors of new energy consumption is completed. After testing, this model can be used as an available model for evaluating the contribution of electric power industry under the condition of considering the influencing factors of new energy consumption.
Keywords: New energy consumption, influencing factors, power industry expansion, contribute electricity, evaluation model, industry expansion capacity
