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Article type: Research Article
Authors: Nguyen, Thanh Thi*
Affiliations: Centre for Intelligent Systems Research, Deakin University, Waurn Ponds, VIC, Australia
Correspondence: [*] Corresponding author. Thanh Thi Nguyen, Centre for Intelligent Systems Research, Deakin University, 75 Pigdons Rd, Waurn Ponds, VIC 3216, Australia. Tel.: +61 3 52278281; Fax: +61 3 52271046; E-mail: [email protected].
Abstract: Since asset returns have been recognized as not normally distributed, the avenue of research regarding portfolio higher moments soon emerged. To account for uncertainty and vagueness of portfolio returns as well as of higher moment risks, we proposed a new portfolio selection model employing fuzzy sets in this paper. A fuzzy multi-objective linear programming (MOLP) for portfolio optimization is formulated using marginal impacts of assets on portfolio higher moments, which are modelled by trapezoidal fuzzy numbers. Through a consistent centroid-based ranking of fuzzy numbers, the fuzzy MOLP is transformed into an MOLP that is then solved by the maximin method. By taking portfolio higher moments into account, the approach enables investors to optimize not only the normal risk (variance) but also the asymmetric risk (skewness) and the risk of fat-tails (kurtosis). An illustrative example demonstrates the efficiency of the proposed methodology comparing to previous portfolio optimization models.
Keywords: Portfolio selection, higher moments, fuzzy sets, fuzzy multi-objective linear programming (FMOLP), marginal impacts
DOI: 10.3233/IFS-151927
Journal: Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, vol. 30, no. 4, pp. 2139-2156, 2016
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