Affiliations: School of Economy and Management, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin, China
Correspondence:
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Corresponding author. Jinqiu Li, School of Economy and Management, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin 150001, China. Tel.: +86 15636066885; E-mail: [email protected].
Abstract: At present, partnership risk management is the key to affecting the success of R&D projects. Therefore, reasonably evaluating risk management capabilities of partners has become a critical issue of enterprises in project risk management. In view of the environmental uncertainty and information ambiguity in project risk management, this paper proposes a dynamic grey target decision making method with interval gray numbers based on error propagation and orthogonal projection, and applies it to evaluate risk management capability of partners in R&D projects. In this proposed method, firstly an error propagation model is used to determine attribute weight intervals; and according to the off-target deviation degree theory, decision-making information in all of the periods is aggregated, obtaining a comprehensive decision matrix; then the concept of time degree is introduced, and a multi-objective nonlinear programming model is established to determine time weights; and the ranking of alternatives is obtained by orthogonal projection method. Finally, the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method are verified by a numerical example.
