Affiliations: Tokyo Institute of Technology, Japan. E-mail:
[email protected]
Abstract: This paper presents the study on agriculture adaptation to climate
change by adopting the assumed land use change strategy to resist the water
shortage and to build the capacity to adapt the expected climate change in the
northern China. The cost-benefit analysis result shows that assumed land use
change from high water consuming rice cultivation to other crops is very
effective. Over 7 billions m³ of water can be saved. Potential conflicts
between different social interest groups, different regions, demand and supply,
and present and future interests have been analyzed for to form a policy to
implement the adaptation strategy. Trade, usually taken as one of adaptation
strategies, was suggested as a policy option for to support land use change,
which not only meets the consumption demand, but also, in terms of resources,
imports waterresources.
Keywords: agriculture, adaptation, climate change, land use change