Estimation of Statistical Characteristics for Storm Precipitation with Long-term Data to Assess Climate Change

Article type: Research Article

Authors: Ilinich, V.^* | Akulova, E. | Belchihina, V. | Ponomarchuk, K.

Affiliations: Department of Meteorology, Hydrology and Water Flow Regulation, Institute of Environmental Engineering of Russian State Agrarian University, Moscow str. Timiryazevskaya 49 - 127550, Russia

Correspondence: [*] Corresponding Author. [email protected]

Abstract: The article is dedicated to researches of the climatic changes and of the methods of their estimations, in particular with respect to quantity of the storm rain precipitations. The researches have been made on the base of data observation of meteorological station which has long-time series of the observed daily precipitations during 120 years. Special statistical methods were used for estimation of their changes in respect to the different concrete probabilities. All numerical results have shown an existence of the increasing trend of the daily dangerous extreme precipitations during time.

Keywords: Climatic changes, Storm rain, Random distributions, Statistical characteristics

DOI: 10.3233/JCC-160019

Journal: Journal of Climate Change, vol. 2, no. 2, pp. 83-87, 2016