Abstract: Significant reform of the health care system sufficient to achieve
universal coverage, a value-driven system and administrative simplification
faces enormous barriers at the level of our societal ecosystem – barriers as
large as any that can be faced in public policy. These barriers exist within
the health system itself as a complex adaptive system, and are structured by
our economic, legal, cultural and political systems. Because there are so many
barriers, significant reform is a relatively rare occurrence. Yet it does
happen and there are some important examples of major health care reforms. There are a number of lessons to be learned from the successful enactment of
the Medicare and Medicaid programs that appear relevant to current and future
reform efforts. First, a necessary condition for achieving significant reform
is the existence of large and sufficiently enduring social forces sufficient to
disrupt legislative and policy stasis and drive the necessary political
solutions. Second, public sentiment and electoral "mandates" might be
necessary to significant reform, but they are not sufficient. Third, assuming
the theoretical capacity to manage the constellation of systemic, economic,
legal, cultural and legislative barriers, there remains a political "tipping
point" that must be crossed and translated into a Congressional super-majority
in order to enact significant nationwide reform.