Do African American Patients Treated with Radical Cystectomy for Bladder Cancer have Worse Overall Survival? Accounting for Pathologic Staging and Patient Demographics Beyond Race Makes a Difference

Unmatched analysis

As shown in Fig. 1 and Table 2a, in the univariable unmatched analysis, African Americans had worse all-cause mortality (HR 1.23; 95% CI 1.15–1.32; p <  0.001) and cancer-specific mortality (HR 1.23; 95% CI 1.13–1.34; p <  0.001) than Caucasians. Table 2a also shows the results for the unmatched multivariable analysis of all-cause mortality and Table 2b shows bladder cancer-specific mortality. In the multivariable analysis, African Americans had worse all-cause mortality (HR 1.20; 95% CI 1.12–1.29; p <  0.001), and slightly, but not statistically significantly, higher bladder cancer-specific mortality (HR 1.09; 95% CI 1.00–1.20; p = 0.053). Higher stage at cystectomy, not being married, and residing in regions other than the Pacific Coast were associated with an increased risk of both all-cause mortality and cancer-specific mortality. Males had equivalent risk of all-cause mortality to females (HR 1.00; 95% CI 0.96–1.04; p = 0.93), but were at lower risk of cancer-specific mortality (HR 0.85; 95% CI 0.81–0.89; p <  0.001).

Matched analysis

African Americans were matched to Caucasian patients on age, sex, and cancer stage, with 19,975 Caucasians matched to 1,328 African American patients, on average a 15 : 1 match. There were matches for all African American patients and only 103 Caucasian patients were not matched. The cohorts were well matched, based on the L1 statistic of 0.11. After matching there were no differences between Caucasians and African Americans with respect to age, sex, cancer stage, year of diagnosis, number of tumors and number of primary malignancies. Table 3a shows the results for the matched all-cause mortality analysis and Table 3b shows the results for the matched bladder cancer-specific mortality analysis. In the univariable analysis, matching slightly increased the hazard ratio for all-cause mortality among African Americans to 1.24 (95% CI 1.16–1.33; p <  0.001), and decreased the hazard ratio for cancer-related mortality to 1.13 (95% CI 1.04–1.24; p = 0.006).

As in the unmatched multivariable analysis, in the matched multivariable analysis, African American patients had worse all-cause mortality than Caucasians (HR 1.17; 95% CI 1.09–1.26; p <  0.001). However, the risk of bladder cancer specific mortality for African Americans was no longer significantly higher than that for Caucasians (HR 1.08; 95% CI 0.99–1.18; p = 0.102). As in the unmatched analysis, not being married and residing in areas other than the Pacific Coast region were associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality. In addition, being diagnosed between 2001 and 2005 was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality. Similarly, not being married, residing in the Pacific Coast region, and being diagnosed between 2001 and 2011 were associated with an increased risk of bladder cancer-specific mortality.

Cancer stage & grade

Histologic type, stage and grade have been shown to affect differences in African American and Caucasian bladder cancer survival [11]. African American patients have been found to have a higher stage and grade, and greater extent of disease at diagnosis [7, 12, 13]. In our analysis, patients with muscle invasive disease had over 2 times the risk of bladder-cancer mortality than those who were diagnosed with bladder cancer at lower stages. Those with distant disease had nearly three times the risk of all-cause and six times the risk of bladder-cancer specific mortality. However, stage did not fully account for differences in survival between the cohorts. Controlling for stage, age, and sex decreased the risk of all-cause mortality by 10% and bladder-cancer by 8% , but African Americans still had worse all-cause mortality.

Using a population-based tumor registry, Prout and colleagues demonstrated that African American patients were more likely to present with muscle invasive disease and that African American patients with T2 and T3 urothelial cancer had worse survival compared to Caucasians. However, there was no survival difference in patients with non-muscle invasive or advanced disease. They also found that there were no differences in diagnostic tests, transurethral resection rates, or the use of radiation and chemotherapy [14]. In an analysis using SEER data from 1993–1999, Lee and colleagues demonstrated that African American patients present with a higher proportion of high-grade tumors than Caucasian patients [15]. These findings were confirmed in an analysis of the National Cancer Data Base, where Mallin, et al. demonstrated that African American patients, especially African American females had a lower proportion of stage 0 tumors and a higher proportion of high-grade tumors [3].

Yee and colleagues demonstrated that even when controlling for stage and grade, African Americans had worse five year disease-specific survival compared to Caucasians, Hispanics, and Asian/Pacific Islanders (70.2% in African Americans compared to 82.8% , 80.7% , and 81.9% in Caucasians, Hispanics, and Asian/Pacific Islanders respectively). Congruent to our analysis, Scosyrev, et al. showed that adjusting for age, sex and grade only eliminated 50–70% of the excess hazard of death from bladder cancer amongst African Americans. The authors concluded that other factors, such as host factors, differing choices and efficacies of treatments, and differences within a tumor group were responsible for the remaining differences in hazard ratios [9].

Marital status

Marital status is an important predictor of all-cause and bladder cancer specific mortality in all of our analyses. Married individuals, both African American and Caucasian, have decreased overall and bladder-cancer specific mortality. Since Caucasian patients are more often married than African Americans, including married in the model removes some of the disparity. Similar findings have been realized in other studies, where marital status has been found to be a predictor of cancer specific survival in bladder cancer and a number of other disease states [16, 17]. Results from the National Longitudinal Mortality Study showed that marriage conferred a survival benefit for patients in all disease states [18]. In a SEER-Medicare study of 19,982 bladder cancer patients, Datta and colleagues demonstrated that irrespective of stage, married men had better survival than unmarried men independent of age, race, socioeconomic status, or co-morbidities. In contrast, co-morbid conditions and age explained the survival difference in women with stages II-IV bladder cancer [19]. Another SEER study only found an increased risk of death to widowed men of 1.74 relative to married men after being diagnosed with bladder cancer (95% CI 1.15, 2.26, P = 0.008) [20]. Gore, et al. used SEER data to evaluate the role of marital status on survival amongst patients undergoing radical cystectomy for bladder cancer and found that married subjects had significantly better survival than did single or widowed subjects (P <  0.001) and trended towards improved survival compared to separated/divorced subjects (P = 0.20) [17]. The authors hypothesized that some of the differences in survival could be secondary to differences in cancer screening and disease detection, risk behaviors, access to care, and the interplay between psychosocial factors and one’s immune system.

Age and sex

Age was correlated with increased all-cause and bladder cancer specific mortality. In an analysis of a population-based cancer registry, Noon and colleagues found that bladder cancer specific mortality was highly correlated with age and that bladder cancer specific mortality was highest among the elderly [21]. In an analysis of 31,100 patients with bladder cancer in Florida, Brookfield, et al. demonstrated that older age was predictive of poorer outcomes [4]. Mallin, and colleagues showed that older age had the highest hazard ratios for bladder-cancer specific mortality [3].

In our analysis, females had a 15% increased risk of bladder cancer specific mortality compared to males, but no increased risk of all-cause mortality. Noon, et al found that females with high risk bladder cancer had worse bladder cancer specific mortality, but not all-cause mortality. There were no significant differences in 5 year all-cause of bladder-cancer specific mortality for patients with low-risk or muscle invasive bladder cancer [21]. In a propensity score matching analysis, Choo, et al found that female gender was not an independent risk factor for overall survival or bladder cancer specific survival [22]. Mallin, et. al showed that, after controlling for demographic and clinical differences, in early stage disease, Caucasian females had significantly lower mortality then Caucasian males, but for late-stage disease African American males (HR 1.3; CI 1.2–1.4) and African American females (HR 1.3; CI 1.2-1.3) had increased mortality to Caucasian males, but not to Caucasian females [3].

The finding that African Americans had a lower mean age at diagnosis than Caucasians (64.5 vs. 67.9; p <  0.001) and that the distribution of age at diagnosis was significantly different between African Americans and Caucasians (p <  0.001) is interesting and contrary to what would be expected when examining smoking rates in African Americans and Caucasians. Although overall smoking rates are similar amongst African Americans and Caucasians, African American men are more likely to smoke than Caucasian men, but African American women are less likely to smoke than Caucasian women [23]. In addition, Caucasian women start smoking at an earlier age than African American women [24]. When examining smoking rates, by age, smoking rates for Caucasian women are higher than for African American women at each age group, except for in the mid 30’s to late 40’s, where smoking rates are higher for African American women than Caucasian women.

Regional variation

Underwood and colleagues found that patients who were diagnosed in Iowa or Detroit were more likely to die of bladder cancer than those diagnosed in Utah or New Mexico [5]. In Atlanta, African American patients were more likely to die from bladder cancer than similar Caucasian patients and also had increased bladder-cancer specific mortality than African American patients diagnosed in all other regions except Atlanta. Our analysis demonstrated regional variation in bladder cancer and overall mortality. Patients diagnosed in the Pacific Coast region had a lower risk of all-cause and bladder cancer-specific mortality than those diagnosed in the East.

Treatment differences

This analysis demonstrates that there are no African American/Caucasian racial disparities in bladder cancer-specific survival amongst patients who undergo a cystectomy for treatment of bladder cancer after controlling for other variables. This suggests that African American and Caucasian patients who undergo a cystectomy have equal responses to therapy and get equivalent treatment. Patients who do not get treated with a cystectomy may have additional barriers to care or differences in type, quality, or intensity of treatment, which are not examined in this analysis. Other studies have determined that disparities in survival could be secondary to treatment differences, such as African American patients being more likely to receive no treatment [25], radiation alone [26], or radiation and chemotherapy [11]. In contrast, a study of SEER-Medicare patients with early stage bladder cancer, Hollenbeck et al. determined that the racial disparity in bladder cancer mortality was not due to differences in treatment intensity or quality of care. In fact, African American patients were more likely to undergo a restaging resection (12% vs 6.5% ; p <  0.01) and urine cytology (36.8% vs 29.7% ; p <  0.01) [27]. Proust also found no racial disparities in treatment [14].

Several authors have shown racial differences in location of treatment and short-term outcomes after undergoing a cystectomy. Using Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project State Inpatient Databases, Barocas and colleagues determined that African American patients who had a radical cystectomy were treated more often at a low volume center and by low volume surgeons compared to Caucasian patients. This finding was confirmed by Casey, et al. who demonstrated that African American race was associated with a higher likelihood of receiving care at a low volume or very low volume hospital [28]. In addition, African American patients had a pelvic lymphadenectomy less frequently and their surgery was associated with more adverse events, including inpatient hospital mortality, than Caucasian patients [29]. Konety et al had similar findings with regards to African American patients being least likely to undergo a radical cystectomy at a high/medium volume hospital. After controlling for confounding variables, African American patients had an increased risk of complications and longer length-of-stays, but no differences in in-hospital mortality [30]. Taub, et al. used the Nationwide Inpatient Sample to determine that even after adjusting for confounders, African Americans were more likely to have an in-hospital mortality and longer length of stay [31].

Co-morbidities

Patients with bladder cancer frequently have co-morbidities, which can influence treatment options, including limiting the use of neoadjuvant/adjuvant chemotherapy and/or surgery as well as increasing complications. Co-morbidity is a significant predictor of overall death in patients with both non muscle- and muscle- invasive bladder cancer [13, 32]. In a Danish-population based cohort study of 3,997 patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer, 43% of patients had at least one co-morbidity and mortality rates were higher amongst patients with more co-morbidities. The authors also showed that co-morbidities increased over the 12 year study period [33]. Using a multi-institutional database of patients treated with a radical cystectomy for bladder cancer in Alberta, Canada, Fairey and colleagues demonstrated that increased co-morbidity was associated with worse overall survival (moderate HR 1.59. 95% CI 1.16–2.18, p = 0.04; severe HR 1.83, 95% CI 1.22–2.72, p = 0.003) and bladder cancer specific survival (moderate HR 1.50, 95% CI 1.04–2.15, p = 0.028; severe HR 1.65, 95% CI 1.04–2.62, p = 0.034) even after controlling for age, adjuvant chemotherapy, surgeon procedure volume, pathologic T stage, pathologic lymph node status, total number of lymph nodes removed, surgical margin status and lymphovascular invasion [34]. A recent SEER analysis demonstrated that grade and stage were associated with non-bladder cancer associated death amongst patients diagnosed with bladder cancer, however the grade/stage categories played a much greater role in bladder cancer specific mortality, suggesting that the main cause of death for patients with muscle invasive disease is bladder cancer and not a patient’s associated co-morbidities [35]. The findings by other authors that patients with increased co-morbidities have worse overall survival likely reflect that patients with more co-morbidities may be less likely to undergo a radical cystectomy for treatment and may have fewer and less-effective options available for neo-adjuvant and adjuvant therapy.

Limitations

There are several limitations to our study. SEER data does not provide specific information on diagnosis, neo-adjuvant or adjuvant treatment, or follow-up. Cancer stage II & III is summed together in this analysis and SEER does not include information on margin status and only includes nodal status data since 2004, so we did not include it in our analysis. In addition, there is little information on patient co-morbidities and other factors which have shown to impact cystectomy outcomes, such as the type of hospital (comprehensive cancer center vs. academic vs private vs VA hospital) in which the surgery took place or the hospital volume. Our analysis only includes patients who had undergone a cystectomy, which also means that this population was healthy enough to obtain pre-operative clearance to undergo the surgery and thus may reflect a population with fewer and/or less severe co-morbidities. The factors mentioned above have been shown to affect bladder cancer survival after cystectomy. This information could have provided additional information on which type of patient is more likely to die with and of bladder cancer and why African American patients have worse all-cause mortality. In addition, the SEER program has expanded in geography over time, which means that any differences observed could actually reflect socioeconomic changes and not real differences. However, our analysis controlled for year of diagnosis, which decreases some of this variability in the data. Lastly, this analysis has the limitations inherent in a retrospective review, including this being a select population for which a cystectomy was chosen to treat bladder cancer and thus we are unable to control for individual physician decision making on who received a cystectomy. Given the data limitations, additional analyses are required to provide more specific information as to why the differences exist.

Although there are several limitations, this is the only analysis aimed at determining if African American/Caucasian racial differences exist in all-cause and cancer-specific mortality for patients who underwent a cystectomy for the treatment of bladder cancer and provides data on what factors may contribute to differences in survival. The analysis also uses a matching methodology, which further decreases variability between the cohorts.