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Article type: Research Article
Authors: Mohammed, H.S. | Shlash, M.A. | Mahdi, H.H.; *
Affiliations: Department of Structures and Water Resources, Faculty of Engineering, University of Kufa, Najaf–54003, Iraq
Correspondence: [*] Corresponding Author. [email protected]
Abstract: Drought indices are an effective tool for evaluating the impact of drought on environments, such as its duration and severity. Here, monitoring and evaluation of meteorological drought were conducted for 3-decades (1984-2014) in the Mesopotamia Plain Region in Iraq using the Drought Indices Calculator DrinC1.7(91) software based on monthly precipitation data recorded by thirteen stations covering the overall study area. The calculations for the standardised precipitation index (SPI), the exceedance probability, the frequency of repetitions of consecutive drought years, and the return period were conducted. Results revealed that the general average drought level was moderately dry, and in most parts of the study region, the percentage of rainy years is less than the dry years, where, on the average annual yearly scale, it is 40% for rainy years and 60% for the dry years. Moreover, the exceedance probability and the frequency decrease when the drought interval increases and the dominant event is a one-year drought and the maximum drought interval occurred within the return period of 3-decades was eight consecutive years (1998-2006), with a 3.33% exceedance probability.
Keywords: Mesopotamia plain, meteorological drought, drought indices, gamma SPI, exceedance probability, DrinC program
DOI: 10.3233/AJW240017
Journal: Asian Journal of Water, Environment and Pollution, vol. 21, no. 2, pp. 15-22, 2024
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