Affiliations: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (Ret.), Washington, DC 20551, USA. E-mail: [email protected]
Abstract: Many household surveys collect and maintain process paradata. Such
information has particular appeal, because variations in the level or
particular patterns of effort might bear on understanding unit nonresponse
or other aspects of survey participation. But for such information to be
useful, it is necessary to understand the process that generates them. For
surveys that lack a highly structured contact protocol, choices of survey
managers or interviewers determine whether and when a record is generated;
if that choice is not neutral with respect to characteristics of
respondents, then the process data may not be directly usable to study such
topics as response propensity, unless there is some means of controlling for
choice. For such surveys, one a priori plausible control is the subjective
likelihood that a given case can be successfully completed. Effort might be
thought to be most likely to be applied to cases that are most likely to be
completed. This paper examines data from the 2010 Survey of Consumer
Finances (SCF), on the subjective evaluation of the likelihood of case
completion that interviewers were required to complete for each effort on
each case. In general, the data suggest that interviewers cannot predict the
outcome of cases sufficiently reliably or precisely to be systematically useful.