Affiliations: Director del Instituto de Estadística de
Andalucía, Sevilla, Spain
Note: [] Juan Antonio Fernández Cordón, Instituto de
Estadística de Andalucía, Pabellón de Nueva Zelanda, Leonardo Da
Vinci, n° 21, Isla de La Cartuja, 41071-Sevilla, Spain. Tel.: +95 503
38 00; Fax: +95 503 38 16; E-mail:
[email protected]
Abstract: Concern for very low fertility and its consequences is spreading in
the Southern European Union countries. Population ageing is already a fact and
these countries are rapidly ageing and expected to become the oldest
populations in the EU-15 by 2050, with an increasing proportion of the very old
(over 80), more subject to loss or reduction of their personal autonomy.
Actions to face population changes should be embedded in social policies in a
threefold strategy: implementing adaptive measures to population ageing, acting
on the work family relationship to favour fertility and dealing with specific
situations of very low fertility. All changes described by the second
transition theory are at work in the Southern EU countries but the presence of
some specific obstacles, among which the extreme situation of youths and
working mothers, prevent the developments that have already occurred in other
countries. In addition, public resources for supporting the family are much
lower than in other parts of the EU-15.