Affiliations: Center for Computer Machine/Human Intelligence Networking and Distributed Systems, University of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA, USA
Correspondence:
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Correspondence to: Professor Dalila B. Megherbi, Center for Computer Machine/Human Intelligence Networking and Distributed Systems, University of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA, USA. E-mail: [email protected].
Note: [1] Data used in preparation of this article were obtained from the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database (http://adni.loni.usc.edu). As such, the investigators within the ADNI contributed to the design and implementation of ADNI and/or provided data but did not participate in analysis or writing of this report. A complete listing of ADNI investigators can be found at: http://adni.loni.usc.edu/wp-content/uploads/how_to_apply/ADNI_Acknowledgement_List.pdf
Abstract: Background:Structural brain imaging metrics and gene expression biomarkers have previously been used for Alzheimer’s disease (AD) diagnosis and prognosis, but none of these studies explored integration of imaging and gene expression biomarkers for predicting mild cognitive impairment (MCI)-to-AD conversion 1-2 years into the future. Objective:We investigated advantages of combining gene expression and structural brain imaging features for predicting MCI-to-AD conversion. Selection of the differentially expressed genes (DEGs) for classifying cognitively normal (CN) controls and AD patients was benchmarked against previously reported results. Methods:The current work proposes integrating brain imaging and blood gene expression data from two public datasets (ADNI and ANM) to predict MCI-to-AD conversion. A novel pipeline for combining gene expression data from multiple platforms is proposed and evaluated in the two independents patient cohorts. Results:Combining DEGs and imaging biomarkers for predicting MCI-to-AD conversion yielded 0.832-0.876 receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC), which exceeded the 0.808-0.840 AUC from using the imaging features alone. With using only three DEGs, the CN versus AD predictive model achieved 0.718, 0.858, and 0.873 cross-validation AUC for the ADNI, ANM1, and ANM2 datasets. Conclusion:For the first time we show that combining gene expression and imaging biomarkers yields better predictive performance than using imaging metrics alone. A novel pipeline for combining gene expression data from multiple platforms is proposed and evaluated to produce consistent results in the two independents patient cohorts. Using an improved feature selection, we show that predictive models with fewer gene expression probes can achieve competitive performance.
Keywords: Alzheimer’s disease, gene expression, MCI-to-AD conversion, predictive model
